Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...

Two years ago, the yield curve inverted. That means short-term interest rates on Treasury bonds were unusually higher than long-term interest rates. When that's happened in the past, a recession has ...

For much of the last two years, the 2-year US Treasury yield has traded above the 10-year yield. When that happens, it historically has meant a recession is looming. So you’d think that investors and ...

Over the last week, Treasury 2-year yields moved to 4.27% this week from 4.4% last week. At 10 years, this week’s yield is 4.61%, compared with 4.79% last week. As a result, the current 2-year/10-year ...

SANTA ANA, Calif. — Consumers and corporate chieftains alike should check an economic flare the bond market sent up on Tuesday. Traders on Tuesday demanded higher yields on U.S. Treasury bonds ...

Explore Treasury yield forecasts: 3‑month bills likely 1%–2%, curve inversion odds, negative-rate risk, and default dangers ...