Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...

The yield curve inverted in June 2022, and as we all know, the recession never came. When it flipped positive in 2024, ...

In last week's commentary we spoke about the big bounce of the S&P 500 (SPY) that got us back in the mix of all the key trend lines (50/100/200 day moving averages). And likely we would be stuck in a ...

The U.S. Treasury yield curve, one of the most reliable signals of recession, is flashing red again. As of March 2025, the spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields remains inverted, a ...

As of early March 2025, investors—and consumers—have once again begun to feel skittish about the possibility of an impending ...

Analysts and investors began to brace for a souring economic environment as the 10-year Treasury yield fell below that of a 3 ...

The 10-year yield is often used as a stand-in for mortgage rates and also shows how investors feel about the economy’s future ...